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Saturday, 11 December 2010

Trading With Using Fibonacci Ratios And Momentum

Do any of these samples of sage advice sound familiar?
“Don’t buy it here, but wait for a pullback.I
would wait and sell on a bounce. What does this
really mean? Where and when do you act? Here’s
one technique for calculating retracement levels
using that tried-and-true favorite, Fibonacci ratios,
as well as using momentum to define the trend.

Markets trend in a zigzag manner: rallying, leveling off, and surging again, only to be hit by a wave of profit-taking before settling into a trading range, awaitingthe next reason to advance or retreat.
This activity carries on in the general direction of the trend, easily seen on a price chart. Technically, the trend should beconsidered up as long as the market unfolds with a series of higher lows and higher highs. Similarly, the trend is considered down if the price action is a series of lower lows, with lower highs before each new low.A market is considered not to be in a trend if the price movement manifests itself in a series of fits and starts or if it fails to sustain levels beyond the previous extreme points, often reversing and forming the range. During an uptrend, good traders will buy the pullbacks,positioning themselves with the trend, taking advantage of the market’s tendency to ebb and flow.
When the market is in a downtrend, however, the strategy is to sell rallies, awaiting for the downtrend to resume.
So what is the appropriate strategy to calculate price levels for buying pullbacks or selling rallies? One popular technique is to calculate and project a
percentage retracement of the prior swing and use that as an entry level. But what percentage retracement is suitable? One popular set of retracement levels is
based on a mathematical series discovered by an Italian mathematician more than 700 years ago.

SON OF BONACCI
Fibonacci ratios, which are used by traders, is based on the work of the 13th-century Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa, better known by his nickname,
Fibonacci (an abbreviation of filius Bonacci; filius is Latin for “son of”). Fibonacci, through the process of solving a mathematical riddle, discovered a unique
mathematical sequence or series wherein the ratio of any two consecutive numbers approximates 1.618 or its inverse, 0.618. The Fibonacci sequence is the sum
of any two adjacent numbers that forms the next number in the series. The first 14 terms in the sequence are 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233,
377. The ratios of each two consecutive numbers from the series are 1, 0.50, 0.666, 0.60, 0.625, 0.615,0.619, 0.618, 0.618..., and between alternate numbers,
the ratio is 2.618 and its inverse, 0.382.
The Fibonacci ratio is also referred to as the Golden Ratio or the Golden Mean. These ratios or proportions are often noted to be the mathematical basis for various aspects of nature,music and art. Recently, in a television interview, a
reconstructive plastic surgeon detailed how he set out to understand what the attributes of the facial features of physically attractive people were. He studied different cultures to see if he could find any consistencies of those attributes among them. Eventually, his research led him to using Fibonacci ratios for proportioning facial features. He even designed a computer template using Fibonacci ratios as an aid during reconstructive surgery.
Technicians use the Fibonacci ratios for percentage retracement measurements for establishing positions and Fibonacci-based multiples of trends to set profit objectives. Is this paradigm for modeling nature and art appropriate for trading the markets? Perhaps. If you look on a chart, markets do appear to resemble the path of a river, meandering from periods of stillness and apparent apathy to swiftly moving ahead, only to suddenly reverse, leaving investors with the sense that their favorite stock has just gone over a waterfall. Whether or not you accept the premise, using Fibonacci ratios can provide you with price levels to trade off of, as well as profit objectives.
(A), the market formed an isolated lowat a price of 106-30, advanced for four days and formed an isolated high on May 2 ata price of 110-10 (B). Four days after the isolated high, the market opened at 108-31,slightly below the 38.2% retracement level (C)


TREND AND COUNTERTREND
An advancing market will often run a quick series of daily bars, three or four days in a row, with the high of each day exceeding the previous day’s high and the low of each day holding above the previous day’s low. Then the market will spend a few days in congestion,perhaps retracing the previous advance,then again trending upward. Ideally, you should see this retracement as an opportunity to place a position in the direction of the trend, trading like the pros  buying a pullback, not chasing the market.But first: To calculate a retracement, you have to identify the beginning and ending points of the trend to be retraced. One technique for labeling these points is known as an isolated high or low, which I first read about in Charles Drummond’s How to Make Money in the Futures Markets. Drummond defines an isolated high as a day with a lower high one bar before and after; an isolated low is a day with a higher low one bar prior and one bar following.
These patterns,which make up three bars, represent a support area for the isolated low and a resistance levelfor the isolated high (Figure 2). The isolated low for an uptrend would be the beginning point of a short-term uptrend or the market only entering a simple sideways trading range before a downtrend continued. Because the market has held support for up to three days, price action indicates that demand was strong enough or the abatement of selling stopped the decline, which could in turn lead to higher prices. Likewise, an isolated high would be the end point of the short-term uptrend, leading to a possible reversal or atrading range.

Wednesday, 17 November 2010

Tips Trading Di Etoro

Dapatkan Bonus sampai $1000 (Dari deposit pertama Anda)


Contoh hasil trading dengan teknik hit and run di eToro

IKUTI KONTES VIRTUAL TRADING BERHADIAH TOTAL $10,000 CASH

Petunjuk & Cara join gratis di eToro

* Silahkan klik banner etoro dibawah lalu signup webtrder atau download etoro platform
* Install etoro trading software ke komputer anda jika anda download software trading
* Open trading softwarenya sampai muncul software untuk trading
* Klik "Trading For Fun" dan buat username serta masukkan email. Anda akan memperoleh detail username dan pasword ke email.
* Setelah itu anda bisa login di Trading for fun software trading
* Anda bisa memulai latihan trading virtual di etoro.
* Trading di eToro bisa di mulai dengan $2.5 per trading
* Silahkan signup disini atau download dan install trading software nya klik banner beikut:

Cara melakukan Trading Di etoro:

Klik logo etoro untuk login, lalu klik Trading for fun,

1. Cara trading dengan Globe Trader:

Klik di globe trader untuk mulai, Misal anda mau order "Buy GBP/USD"

* Klik dan pilih GBP di bagian Buy
* Klik dan pilih USD di bagian Against
* Klik dan pilih leverage nya mis: 100, 200 atau 400
* Klik dan pilih amount mis: 2.5 , 25, 50 atau 250 dll
* Klik "Advance" jika anda mau setting Stop Loss atau Target Profit
* Klik "Open Trade" dan lalu klik "Ok"

Misal anda mau order " SELL GBP/USD" ( kebalikan Buy)

* Klik dan pilih USD di bagian Buy
* Klik dan pilih GBP di bagian Against
* Klik dan pilih leverage nya mis: 100, 200 atau 400
* Klik dan pilih amount mis: 2.5, 25, 50 atau 250 dll
* Klik "Advance" jika anda mau setting Stop Loss atau Target Profit
* Klik "Open Trade" dan lalu klik "Ok"

Catatan:

* Untuk close order anda bisa klik "Close" Trade
* Etoro otomatis melakukan close jika order anda loss 100% dari order
* Karena di etoro tidak ada grafik yang lengkap, maka kit bisa mengunkan

2. Trading dengan "Forex Marathon" .

Jika anda ingin order beli EUR/USD maka langkahnya sbb:

* Klik forex marathon, klik logo bendera "EUR" di bawah Buy Currencies
* Klik logo bendera "USD" di bawah Against Currencies
* Pilih nilai trading di bawah amount
* klik tombol "Open Trade" dan klik ok

Jika anda ingin order Jual (Sell) EUR/USD maka langkahnya sbb:

* Klik forex marathon lalu klik logo bendera "USD" di bawah Buy Currencies
* Klik logo bendera "EUR" di bawah Against Currencies
* Pilih nilai trading di bawah amount
* klik tombol "Open Trade" dan klik ok

Untuk menutup order dengan klik tombol "Close Order"

Tips trading termudah dan cara membuat signal buy atau sell sendiri bisa anda lihat di member area web kami: Saya bisa meraih 300% Profit dlm 2 hari, Lihat contoh di bawah ( Klik untuk memperbesar):

TIPS Trading GBP/USD tanpa signal secara mudah di ETORO:

Mulai trading jam 3-4 sore, Ambil 2 order GBP/USD yang berlawanan dengan besar yang sama dan leverage 400.

Contohnya dengan melalui "Globe Trader" sbb:

TIPS TRADING 2 ARAH

1, Ambil order Buy "GBP/USD"

* Klik dan pilih GBP di bagian Buy
* Klik dan pilih USD di bagian Against
* Klik dan pilih leverage nya : 400
* Klik dan pilih amount mis: 25, 50 atau 250 dll
* Klik "Open Trade" dan lalu klik "Ok"

2. Ambil order Sell "GBP/USD"

* Klik dan pilih USD di bagian Buy
* Klik dan pilih GBP di bagian Against
* Klik dan pilih leverage nya: 400
* Klik dan pilih amount yang sama dengan order BUY anda
* Klik "Open Trade" dan lalu klik "Ok"

Pada saat jam 3-4 sore biasanya GBP/USD mulai bergerak dan Kemungkinan melebihi 25 pips bahkan sampai lebih 100-200 pips :

* Jika harga naik maka order Sell anda akan terclose otomatis setelah loss anda mencapai 100% dari besar order ( sekitar 25 pips) dan order buy anda akan memperoleh profit, silahkan close order buy anda jika profitnya sudah melebihi loss dari order sell, tapi jika kenaikan harga tidak berlanjut maka harus di close walaupun profitnya tidak melebihi loss.
* Jika harga turun maka order Buy anda akan terclose otomatis setelah loss anda mencapai 100% dari besar order ( sekitar 25 pips) dan order Sell anda akan memperoleh profit, silahkan close order Sell anda jika profitnya sudah melebihi loss dari order sell, tapi jika penurunan harga tidak berlanjut maka harus di close walaupun profitnya tidak melebihi loss.

Saturday, 13 November 2010

7 Alasan Mengapa Anda Perlu Bangun Pagi

7 Alasan Mengapa Anda Perlu Bangun Pagi: "
JANGAN LUPA DI RATE GAN







Langsung aja gan





Anda pernah mendengar slogan "Early to bed, early to rise, makes a man healthy, wealthy, and wise"? Slogan ini sungguh tepat, karena ketika Anda tidur lebih cepat dan bangun lebih awal, Anda mendapat cukup waktu istirahat dan bangun dalam kondisi yang segar-bugar. Dengan kondisi ini, Anda bisa lebih meningkatkan produktivitas hidup Anda sepanjang hari.



Maka, untuk Anda yang masih belum bisa mendapatkan quality time akibat selalu begadang dan bangun kesiangan, coba pertimbangkan untuk lebih mengatur waktu. Bangun pagi itu menyenangkan, lho, karena Anda bisa mendapatkan waktu ekstra untuk melakukan hal-hal yang ingin Anda lakukan.



1. Mengasah pikiran dan hati

Pagi hari merupakan waktu yang baik untuk pengembangan diri. Misalnya, untuk membaca buku Your Job Is Not Your Career-nya Rene Suhardono yang tak juga habis dibaca itu. Baca buku ini pada pagi hari. Suasana yang masih tenang akan menjadi anugerah yang bisa Anda gunakan untuk mengembangkan diri Anda, secara profesional, emosional, fisik, mental, dan spiritual. pagi hari adalah waktu untuk mengasah pikiran dan hati.

2. Berolahraga

Tidur lebih awal, membuat Anda mampu bangun pagi dengan bugar. Waktu yang masih ada bisa Anda gunakan untuk berolahraga, entah di rumah atau di gym dekat kantor.



3. Membereskan hal-hal kecil

Bereskan hal-hal kecil yang harus Anda lakukan lebih dulu untuk menyelesaikan tugas yang lebih besar pada hari itu. Misalnya, balas dulu email-email yang belum dibuka di inbox, supaya rongrongan email dari klien atau departemen lain di kantor tidak menyita perhatian Anda.



4. Meningkatkan produktivitas

Jika Anda mengawali hari lebih awal, Anda akan membuat hari terasa lebih panjang. Dengan demikian, Anda bisa melakukan lebih banyak dalam satu hari daripada biasanya. Jika pekerjaan Anda menumpuk untuk esok hari, tidurlah lebih awal, bangun lebih pagi, maka Anda bisa menyelesaikan tugas dengan lebih cepat.



5. Menggunakan waktu untuk berpikir

Pakar keuangan James Citrin pernah mengatakan, "Heningnya pagi seringkali terjadi ketika pikiran kita sedang jernih, dan memungkinkan untuk memecahkan persoalan penting." Artikelnya, Tapping the Power of Your Morning Routine, akan memberikan wawasan pada Anda betapa berharganya waktu pagi. Dalam artikel tersebut Jim juga melaporkan bahwa 80 persen pejabat perusahaan yang diwawancaranya bangun pukul 05.30 atau lebih pagi.



6. Melakukan meditasi

Meditasi menyebabkan keseimbangan emosional dan kesejahteraan diri. Jika Anda mengawali hari dengan bermeditasi, Anda akan membawa keseimbangan dalam hidup Anda sepanjang hari, dan memperbaiki kualitas hidup Anda. Pagi menjadi waktu yang lebih baik untuk meditasi karena pikiran Anda masih segar, rileks, dan otak masih tajam.



7. Mengalahkan kemacetan

Warga Jakarta atau kota besar lain di Indonesia tentu tahu, jika Anda harus menempuh waktu puluhan kilometer menuju kantor setiap hari, Anda akan menghemat waktu jika berangkat ke kantor lebih awal. Dengan tiba di kantor lebih awal Anda bisa menggunakan waktu yang masih ada untuk melakukan hal-hal yang Anda sukai, entah itu membaca, olahraga, menelepon orangtua di kampung, merencanakan kegiatan dalam sehari, dan lain sebagainya. Daripada menggunakan waktu ini untuk mengarungi kemacetan, lebih baik memanfaatkannya untuk "me time" kecil-kecilan kan?



Maaf gan klo ane


Spoiler for Repost:





:repost






Ane cuma minta


Spoiler for Cendol:





:cendolbig






Ane gak demen


Spoiler for Bata:





:batabig








Mampir k thread ane yg laenx y gan...

"

Pivot Strategies

For many years, traders and market makers have used pivot points to determine critical support and/or resistance levels. Pivots are also very popular in the forex market and can be an extremely useful tool for range-bound traders to identify points of entry and for trend traders and breakout traders to spot the key levels that need to be broken for a move to qualify as a breakout. In this article, we'll explain how pivot points are calculated, how they can be applied to the FX market, and how they can be combined with other indicators to develop other trading strategies.
Calculating Pivot Points
By definition, a pivot point is a point of rotation. The prices used to calculate the pivot point are the previous period's high, low and closing prices for a security. These prices are usually taken from a stock's daily charts, but the pivot point can also be calculated using information from hourly charts. Most traders prefer to take the pivots, as well as the support and resistance levels, off of the daily charts and then apply those to the intraday charts (for example, hourly, every 30 minutes or every 15 minutes). If a pivot point is calculated using price information from a shorter time frame, this tends to reduce its accuracy and significance.

The textbook calculation for a pivot point is as follows:

Central Pivot Point (P) = (High + Low + Close) / 3

Support and resistance levels are then calculated off of this pivot point using the following formulas:

First level support and resistance:

First Resistance (R1) = (2*P) - Low

First Support (S1) = (2*P) - High

Likewise, the second level of support and resistance is calculated as follows:

Second Resistance (R2) = P + (R1-S1)

Second Support (S2) = P - (R1- S1)

Calculating two support and resistance levels is common practice, but it's not unusual to derive a third support and resistance level as well. (However, third-level support and resistances are a bit too esoteric to be useful for the purposes of trading strategies.) It's also possible to delve deeper into pivot point analysis - for example, some traders go beyond the traditional support and resistance levels and also track the mid-point between each of those levels.

Applying Pivot Points to the FX Market
Generally speaking, the pivot point is seen as the primary support or resistance level. The following chart is a 30-minute chart of the currency pair GBP/USD with pivot levels calculated using the daily high, low and close prices.

The green line is the pivot point (P).

The red lines are resistance levels (R).

The blue lines are support levels (S).

The yellow lines are mid-points (M).

Figure 1 shows how the pivot line served as support for the GBP/USD for most of the European trading hours. Once U.S. traders joined the market, however, prices began to break higher, with each of the breaks first testing and resisting either the mid-point or the R1 and R2 levels; then the break occurred off of those levels (see areas circled). This chart also shows something that occurs frequently in the FX market, which is that the initial break occurs at a market open. There are three market opens in the FX market: the U.S. open, which occurs at approximately 8am EDT, the European open, which occurs at 2am EDT, and the Asian open which occurs at 7pm EDT.


Figure 1 - This chart shows a common day in the FX market. The price of a major currency pair (GBP/USD) tends to fluctuate between the support and resistance levels identified by the pivot point calculation. The areas circled in the chart are good illustrations of the importance of a break above these levels.

What we also see when trading pivots in the FX market is that the trading range for the session usually occurs between the pivot point and the first support and resistance levels because a multitude of traders play this range. Take a look at Figure 2, a chart of the currency pair USD/JPY. As you can see in the areas circled, prices initially stayed within the pivot point and the first resistance level with the pivot acting as support. Once the pivot was broken, prices moved lower and stayed predominately within the pivot and the first support zone.


Figure 2 - This chart shows an example of the strength of the support and resistance calculated using the pivot calculations.

The Significance of Market Opens
One of the key points to understand when trading pivot points in the FX market is that breaks tend to occur around one of the market opens. The reason for this is the immediate influx of traders entering the market at the same time. These traders go into the office, take a look at how prices traded overnight and what data was released and then adjust their portfolios accordingly. During the quieter time periods, such as between the U.S. close (4pm EDT) and the Asian open (7pm EDT) (and sometimes even throughout the Asian session, which is the quietest trading session), prices may remain confined for hours between the pivot level and either the support or resistance level. This provides the perfect environment for range-bound traders.

Two Strategies Using Pivot Points
Many strategies can be developed using the pivot level as a base, but the accuracy of using pivot lines increases when Japanese candlestick formations can also be identified. For example, if prices traded below the central pivot (P) for most of the session and then made a foray above the pivot while simultaneously creating a reversal formation (such as a shooting star, doji or hanging man), you could sell short in anticipation of the price resuming trading back below the pivot point.

A perfect example of this is shown in Figure 3, a 30-minute USD/CHF chart. USD/CHF had remained range-bound between the first support zone and the pivot level for most of the Asian trading session. When Europe joined the market, traders began taking USD/CHF higher to break above the central pivot. Bulls lost control as the second candle became a doji formation. Prices then began to reverse back below the central pivot to spend the next six hours between the central pivot and the first support zone. Traders watching for this formation could have sold USD/CHF in the candle right after the doji formation to take advantage of at least 80 pips worth of profit between the pivot point and the first level of support.


Figure 3 - This chart shows a pivot point being used in cooperation with a candlestick pattern to predict a trend reversal. Notice how the descent was stopped by the second support level.

Another strategy traders can use is to look for prices to obey the pivot level, therefore validating the level as a solid support or resistance zone. In this type of strategy, you're looking to see the price break the pivot level, reverse and then trend back towards the pivot level. If the price proceeds to drive through the pivot point, this is an indication that the pivot level is not very strong and is therefore less useful as a trading signal. However, if prices hesitate around that level or "validate" it, then the pivot level is much more significant and suggests that the move lower is an actual break, which indicates that there may be a continuation move.

The 15-minute GBP/CHF chart in Figure 4 shows an example of prices "obeying" the pivot line. For the most part, prices were first confined within the mid-point and pivot level. At the European open (2am EDT), GBP/CHF rallied and broke above the pivot level. Prices then retraced back to pivot level, held it and proceeded to rally once again. The level was tested once more right before the U.S. market open (7am EDT), at which point traders should have placed a buy order for GBP/CHF since the pivot level had already proved to be a significant support level. For those traders who did do that, GBP/CHF bounced off the level and rallied once again.


Figure 4 - This is an example of a currency pair "obeying" the support and resistance identified by the pivot point calculation. These levels become more significant the more times the pair tries to break through.

Conclusion
Traders and market makers have been using pivot points for years to determine critical support and/or resistance levels. As the charts above have shown, pivots can be especially popular in the FX market since many currency pairs do tend to fluctuate between these levels. Range-bound traders will enter a buy order near identified levels of support and a sell order when the asset nears the upper resistance. Pivot points also enable trend and breakout traders to spot key levels that need to be broken for a move to qualify as a breakout. Furthermore, these technical indicators can be very useful at market opens.

Having an awareness of where these potential turning points are located is an excellent way for individual investors to become more attuned to market movements and make more educated transaction decisions. Given their ease of calculation, pivot points can also be incorporated into many trading strategies. The flexibility and relative simplicity of pivot points definitely make them a useful addition to your trading toolbox.

by Kathy Lien,
FREE Forex Report - The 5 Things That Move The Currency Market (Contact Author | Biography)

Tells The Right Time to Trade

rade and when not to trade – the very daunting scenario in trading when all the trader’s aim is to succeed and accumulate a huge return of investment. With different trading conditions that traders may face, it is indeed hard enough to detect when is the right time for you to go and to halt.

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